Recent research suggests that there is a pathway for the generation of ozone at the poles via ionisation of the atmosphere by cosmic rays.

From the conclusion: recent modelling shows that the O3 distribution in the extra-tropics is formed mainly from the local production, while the impact of the tropical ozone, transported by stratospheric dynamics, is substantially smaller. During winter conditions, when the amount of solar UV radiation at middle and high latitudes is strongly reduced, the only alternative source of O3 at these latitudes are highly energetic galactic cosmic rays (GCR) capable of penetrating into the lower stratosphere and troposphere.
However, the influence of GCR on the lower stratosphere has been ignored for a
long time, thought to be negligible at these levels. Through reassessment of the efficiency of main atmospheric constituents’ ion-ization by GCR and the ion-molecular reactions between the most abundant ions and neutrals, we have shown an existence of an autocatalytic cycle for continuous O3 production in the lower stratosphere and upper troposphere (near the level of maximal absorption of GCR, known as Pfotzer maximum). The quantity of O3, produced by the positive ion chemistry, has the same order of magnitude as the mid-latitude steady-state ozone profile. This is an indication that the lowermost ozone profile could be substantially distorted by the highly energetic particles.

If Cosmic Rays can result in ozone production at the poles it links solar activity and climate in a direct and powerful fashion. Ozone drives of the evolution of planetary winds and cloud cover from the winter hemisphere. The signature of its activity is written into the surface temperature record.

Don’t hold your breath while you wait for climate scientists to adopt these ideas. The current generation of climate scientists  have no interest in discovering the origins of natural modes of climate variation even though these modes have been in operation since the dawn of time. Some proponents of the anthropocentric global warming argument now maintain that all climate change (of whatever description) is due to the impact of man on the planet. For others the origin of natural modes of climate variation must remain mysterious and unknowable. If it seems that something out of the ordinary happens it must be ‘an internal oscillation’ or the result of ‘an exchange of energy between the ocean and the atmosphere’, neither of long term consequence unless it can be suggested that these internal modes are getting out of whack due to the influence of man.

This seems to be the current point of view. Mans responsibility, for the good of succeeding generations, is to avoid warming, cooling, drought, flood, damaging radiation, big tides, big waves and typhoons by reducing carbon emissions. Carbon dioxide, the raw material for plant photosynthesis, the original building block for life on the planet, is nasty. The imperative is to stop emitting carbon dioxide wherever we can in order to stop ‘climate change’.  The words ‘climate change’ now equates to ‘the addition of carbon dioxide to the atmosphere due to the activities of man in burning fossil fuels’. If its not scarce, we must nevertheless avoid burning it. We must reduce our energy use to that which is sustainable, not in terms of the amount of the resource available but in terms of the desired state of the atmosphere. If we have this resource we must keep it in the ground even though others are crying out for electric light and the means to do things other than by the sweat of their brow. We will deny them the use of coal for their own good.

Originally, the notion was that the planet warmed when CO2 levels increased. Now, in the absence of warming,  carbon dioxide is responsible for change in the status quo. Where have we heard this sort of argument before?

It is in the nature of those who hold strong ideas that they will seek to reward and give preferment to those who agree with them.

It is those who can capture our imaginations who will be paid from the public purse to do so again and again. Adolph Hitler and Tim Flannery. ‘Mein Kampf’ and ‘The Weather Makers’.  The free lunch. Give the man a Beer. Let’s recommend him for a Nobel. Al Gore, ‘An Inconvenient Truth’. Do something for the planet. Stop breathing.

WHAT ARE COSMIC RAYS?

Wikipedia: Cosmic rays are immensely high-energy radiation, mainly originating outside the Solar System.They may produce showers of secondary particles that penetrate and impact the Earth’s atmosphere and sometimes even reach the surface. Composed primarily of high-energy protons and atomic nuclei, they are of mysterious origin. Data from the Fermi space telescope (2013) have been interpreted as evidence that a significant fraction of primary cosmic rays originate from the supernovae of massive stars. However, this is not thought to be their only source. Active galactic nuclei probably also produce cosmic rays.

The kinetic mass-energy of massive particles can increase drastically due to relativistic effects. Through this process, the particles can acquire tremendously high energies, significantly higher than those of even the highest-energy photons detected to date (whose energy depends solely on frequency and not on speed, as photons always travel at the same speed). The Oh-My-God particle, the highest-energy fermionic cosmic ray detected to date, had an energy of about 3×1020 eV, while the highest-energy gamma rays to be observed, very-high-energy gamma rays, are photons with energies of up to 1014 eV. Hence, the highest-energy detected fermionic cosmic ray was around 3×106 times more energetic than the highest-energy detected cosmic photons.

Of primary cosmic rays, which originate outside of Earth’s atmosphere, about 99% are the nuclei (stripped of their electron shells) of well-known atoms, and about 1% are solitary electrons (similar to beta particles). Of the nuclei, about 90% are simple protons, i. e. hydrogen nuclei; 9% are alpha particles, identical to helium nuclei, and 1% are the nuclei of heavier elements, called HZE ions. A very small fraction are stable particles of antimatter, such as positrons or antiprotons. The precise nature of this remaining fraction is an area of active research. An active search from Earth orbit for anti-alpha particles has failed to detect them.

Ultra-high-energy cosmic rays have energies comparable to the kinetic energy of a 90-kilometre-per-hour (56 mph) baseball.

When cosmic rays enter the Earth’s atmosphere they collide with atoms and molecules, mainly oxygen and nitrogen. The interaction produces a cascade of lighter particles, a so-called air shower secondary radiation that rains down, including x-rays, muons, protons, alpha particles, pions, electrons, and neutrons. 

Typical particles produced in such collisions are neutrons and charged mesons such as positive or negative pions and kaons. Some of these subsequently decay into muons, which are able to reach the surface of the Earth, and even penetrate for some distance into shallow mines. The muons can be easily detected by many types of particle detectors, such as cloud chambers, bubble chambers or scintillation detectors.

MEASUREMENT OF THE INCIDENCE OF COSMIC RAYS

Wikipedia:  In 1912, Victor Hess carried three enhanced-accuracy Wulf electrometers to an altitude of 5300 meters in a free balloon flight. He found the ionization rate increased approximately fourfold over the rate at ground level. Hess ruled out the Sun as the radiation’s source by making a balloon ascent during a near-total eclipse. With the moon blocking much of the Sun’s visible radiation, Hess still measured rising radiation at rising altitudes. He concluded “The results of my observation are best explained by the assumption that a radiation of very great penetrating power enters our atmosphere from above.” In 1913–1914, Werner Kolhörster confirmed Victor Hess’ earlier results by measuring the increased ionization rate at an altitude of 9 km.

Hess received the Nobel Prize in Physics in 1936 for his discovery.

Flying 12 kilometres (39,000 ft) high, passengers and crews of jet airliners are exposed to at least 10 times the cosmic ray dose that people at sea level receive. Aircraft flying polar routes near the geomagnetic poles are at particular risk.

DEPENDENCY OF COSMIC RAYS ON THE ACTIVITY OF THE SUN

The flux of incoming cosmic rays at the upper atmosphere is dependent on the solar wind, the Earth’s magnetic field, and the energy of the cosmic rays. At distances of ~94 AU from the Sun, the solar wind undergoes a transition, called the termination shock, from supersonic to subsonic speeds. The region between the termination shock and the heliopause acts as a barrier to cosmic rays, decreasing the flux at lower energies (≤ 1 GeV) by about 90%. However, the strength of the solar wind is not constant, and hence it has been observed that cosmic ray flux is correlated with solar activity.

In addition, the Earth’s magnetic field acts to deflect cosmic rays from its surface, giving rise to the observation that the flux is apparently dependent on latitude, longitude, and azimuth angle. The magnetic field lines deflect the cosmic rays towards the poles, giving rise to the aurorae.

RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN COSMIC RAYS AND SUDDEN STRATOSPHERIC WARMINGS

Citation: Osprey, S., et al. (2009), Sudden stratospheric warmings seen in MINOS deep underground muon data as reported here:  http://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/148293/1/2008GL036359.pdf

The rate of high energy cosmic ray muons as measured underground is shown to be strongly correlated with upper air temperatures during short-term atmospheric (10-day) events. The effects are seen by correlating data from the MINOS underground detector and temperatures from the European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasts during the winter periods from 2003– 2007. This effect provides an independent technique for the measurement of meteorological conditions and presents a unique opportunity to measure both short and long-term changes in this important part of the atmosphere. 

Do you think you could explain all that to your grandmother while its still fresh in your mind?

RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN THE INCIDENCE OF COSMIC RAYS AND GEOPOTENTIAL HEIGHT ANOMALIES IN THE ARCTIC IN 2016

In winter the upper atmosphere is colder due to the descent of very cold ozone deficient air from the mesosphere.

The displacement of this core of cold air by a mushrooming ascent of ozone rich air results in much higher temperatures over the polar cap. The mushrooming effect  centres on about 50° of latitude  as ozone is gathered in zones of low surface pressure associated with warm ocean surfaces initiating wholesale ascent. When the ascending air reaches 30 hPa, 10 hPa and 1 hPa it spreads laterally to occupy the region of the polar cap. This has been a ‘mystery’ for climate science for a generation of more. It appears that warming air is not connected with the presence of ozone in the minds of many observers. Are they turning a blind eye? Are they incapable of rigorous inquiry? Do they simply assume that the temperature of the air is  the result of the absorption of short wave radiation from the sun? Is this commonly seen assertion a required article of faith? Who knows?

The warming of the stratosphere is tracked via the increase in geopotential height between 50 and 80 degrees of latitude as seen in the diagram below. For the purposes of comparison I have lined up data for cosmic rays and geopotential height anomalies across a common time interval.The question is this: are these two data streams related?

RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN THE INCIDENCE OF COSMIC RAYS AND GEOPOTENTIAL HEIGHT ANOMALIES

The period extends from January to mid June in 2016. On the face of it, galactic cosmic rays could be making a contribution to the periodic proliferation of ozone resulting in episodic increases in geopotential height.There are enough coincidences to suggest that this might be the case. The fact that these increases are much greater in winter is consistent with the ease of disturbance of the polar atmosphere at a time of the year when temperature is at a low base, the connection to the mesosphere is tenuous and dependent on atmospheric pressure. Winter is the time of the year where ozone proliferates. But, we  must note that there are warming events that are not associated with the incidence of galactic cosmic rays and that peaks in GCR activity do occur without an obvious atmospheric response. Plainly there is another factor involved that may compete with or perhaps complement the activity of GCR.

The loss of surface pressure over Antarctica over the last seventy years represents a one way transfer of atmospheric mass from high southern latitudes that requires an external driver capable of retaining atmospheric mass against the force of gravity. The only force capable of retaining new states of this sort is electromagnetic. If there is indeed a response to electromagnetic effects it should be seen at times when geomagnetic activity is high.

In the diagram below that relates to the southern pole we can see that peaks in the solar wind, as indicated by the Kp Index (lowest series) are not necessarily conjunctional with peaks in neutron counts. In fact in many instances, neutron counts are in a trough as the kP index peaks.

The green lines in the diagram locate instances where there is an atmospheric response that is conjunctional with geomagnetic activity in the absence of cosmic  ray activity. If we combine the incidences where cosmic ray indices peak in conjunction with increased GPH with the instances where the kP index peaks in conjunction with increases in GPH we can account for each and every heating episode.

CONCLUSION

This analysis is consistent with the notion that both the solar wind and cosmic rays can be independently influential in determining  the partial pressure of ozone engendering an increase in geopotential height. If geomagnetic activity slows the zonal wind that acts to reduce the influx of mesospheric air, then ozone partial pressure will increase and the geopotential height response will appear. If  cosmic rays enhance ionisation and ozone is produced this will have the same effect.If the atmosphere warms due to the slowing of the zonal wind then the the galactic cosmic ray enhancement of ozone cuts in in every instance regardless of whether there is a conjunctional peak in galactic cosmic ray activity. So, these conditioning influences do tend to work hand in hand in a complementary fashion and equally, they can conflict.

The limit to the shifts in atmospheric mass, however engineered, is set by gravity. The extent to which this process is capable of establishing different states,so far as surface pressure is concerned,  depends  upon the pressure of the solar wind, known to vary on 100 and 200 year time scales. The existence of the phenomenon whereby atmospheric mass shifts over long time scales tells us that external influences are involved.

All fluctuations in climate on all time scales from the very short to the very long,  whether we see them as internal fluctuations or externally imposed, can be described in terms of surface atmospheric pressure, wind and cloud cover. It is the circulation at the poles in winter that drives these changes, not the relatively invariable rate of heating in near equatorial latitudes. Climate science is turned on its head.

Chapter 25 established that, in low latitudes, the stratosphere below about 40 kilometres in elevation is a relatively safe environment for ozone. All the extreme ultra-violet and X ray radiation that is responsible for the ionosphere  is used up above 60 km in elevation.  Below 40 kilometres in elevation ozone partial pressure builds during daylight hours indicating a relatively safe environment for what is admittedly a tiny amount of ozone in air that is in any case extremely rarefied.

To resist photolysis in the stratosphere the ozone molecule must avoid radiation in the UVB and shorter spectrum. At any other than near vertical sun angles the atmospheric path is too long to allow much UVB to reach the surface but the small amount of ozone in the stratosphere creates what is in fact just a very coarse sieve. If you had such a sieve in the kitchen some of the spaghetti would leak through with the water when you drain the water off. The population of runners (ionising radiation)  is small and the obstacles (ozone) are widely spaced.

As the sun sinks towards the horizon in winter, ozone proliferates.This, and the ability of the ozone molecule to absorb infra-red emanating from the Earth is the reason why the upper stratosphere at 1 hPa is warmer over the poles than at the equator in summer despite the very low angle of the sun and very little cooler in winter when the sun is below the horizon. It is not ionising radiation that heats the stratosphere, it is ozone absorbing long wave infrared from the Earth.

The existence of a tropopause in high latitudes during the polar night when there is patently no short wave radiation to be had, testifies to the importance of the status of ozone as a  agent for heating the air via absorption of outgoing infrared.  The notion that the temperature of the stratosphere is determined by the absorption of short wave radiation from the sun is universally accepted and promoted  because it suits a certain narrative but it is nonetheless false. Above the mesopause yes, below the mesopause no. The mesopause marks the point where the ionosphere begins.

In the southern hemisphere the polar night prevails between March and September. See the sonde data below. Note the inflection in the temperature curve at the elevation where the partial pressure of ozone increases, at some 9 kilometres above the surface, plainly due to ozone heating. The fall in the temperature of the air above 12 kilometres in elevation is due to the descent of very cold air from the mesosphere. That air is relatively ozone rich by comparison with air that arrives laterally from the region of the very cold tropical tropopause that is always ozone poor. Some intruding tongues of ozone poor air are evident, especially at 15 kilometres in elevation.There is a great deal of horizontal movement of the air in the stratosphere, in fact just above the tropopause, more than anywhere else. The failure to recognise the importance of that movement and its origins has been fatal for climate science. The ‘annular modes phenomenon’ is inexplicable without an understanding of the dynamics at work in the stratosphere.

In this stratospheric ‘safe environment’ for ozone one might expect that the ozone content of the atmosphere would increase in direct response to the length of the atmospheric path.In the absence of any other control mechanism ozone partial pressure should  peak at the surface of the planet and attain its highest partial pressure over the poles. Alas, there are, at a minimum, two other control mechanisms at work. One is NOx emanating from the surface of the planet. The second is via the influx of ozone starved mesospheric air  at the winter pole. The rate of influx at the pole depends upon surface pressure that is in turn dependent non the collective activity of polar cyclones that surround the pole.

Ozone partial pressure in high latitudes may  build under the impact of cosmic radiation. This activity is modulated by the temperature of the air over the pole and the incidence of cosmic rays is modulated by the solar cycle and the solar wind that is to some extent independent of the sunspot cycle.  Since there is no apparent cycle in atmospheric pressure over the Antarctic pole that is in tune with the solar cycle the cosmic ray effect must be small, at least at solar cycle intervals. Nevertheless cosmic rays are much more in evidence at solar minimum and it is possible that their ozone production capacity becomes a factor of increasing importance in promoting short term shifts in atmospheric mass during periods of very low solar activity.

CHEMICAL EROSION OF OZONE BY  NOx

NOx is produced by fossil fuel combustion, biomass burning, decomposition in soils and lightning. NOx is a generic term for the mono oxides of nitrogen NO and N2O. Both are active in the catalytic destruction of ozone. The  lifetime of these compounds increases with elevation so that they are more potent at 10 km elevation than at the surface.

Below we compare the global distribution of NOx with that of ozone at 100 hPa. Source:http://macc.aeronomie.be/4_NRT_products/5_Browse_plots/1_Snapshot_maps/index.php?src=MACC_o-suite&l=TC

It is evident that in equatorial latitudes, where NOx is most abundant, ozone is almost completely depleted. The patterns created by air of different NOx concentration reveal the movement of the atmosphere at 100 hPa. For the purpose of comparing the two diagrams a white line traces the edge of apparent NOx presence and this line is applied to the ozone diagram taking care to match the latitudes correctly. The two fit like a glove. Notice that it takes  only trace levels of NOx in the ozone deficient southern hemisphere to produce a marked depletion in the ozone content of the air in the mid latitudes. Although it is not apparent in the NOx content of higher latitudes in the southern hemisphere the pattern of depletion of ozone  in the southern hemisphere suggests that the influence of NOx extends all the way to the southern pole. This should be no surprise given the role of NOx in producing the Antarctic ‘ozone hole’ at the time of the final warming of the Antarctic stratosphere between September and November as described in chapter 23. Here we are  seeing the precursor environment for the Antarctic ozone hole in spring.

Below, at the 50 hPa pressure level, an elevation of 20 kilometres, is mapped the distribution of NOx in the southern hemisphere on the 12th day of the month between February and October 2015.

Notice the camera iris like structure of the developing Antarctic Ozone hole.

Below, and again from a polar cap perspective, this time centred on the month of April, we have nine months of single day data for NOx in the northern hemisphere at 50 hPa. Notice the strong presence of NOx at 50 hPa, much stronger than in the southern hemisphere. Notice the camera iris structure that appears on 12th March and its displacement off the pole a month later. Yes, there is an ozone hole in the northern hemisphere an artefact of the final warming when the descent of mesospheric air rapidly falls away due to swiftly rising surface pressure over the pole.

Below we see the distribution of NOx at 100 hPa in the northern hemisphere. The increase in atmospheric NOx  that presses in from low latitudes to flood across the entire hemisphere is plainly a summer phenomenon. Notice the wave like structures representing a flow of cold NOx rich air towards higher latitudes.

Below  we have the distribution of NOx in the southern hemisphere at 100 hPa from a polar cap perspective.

The ocean dominant southern hemisphere is plainly  less influenced by the presence of NOx at 100 hPa  than is the northern hemisphere. Nevertheless there is NOx present at this level in October contributing to the Antarctic ozone hole in that year.

The distribution of NOx relates to the pattern of surface pressure because it arrives with very cold tropical air characterised by relatively high surface pressure. The wave like pattern of intrusions of  NOx rich air from the tropics show up in ozone profiles as an ‘ozone hole’ above the point where we have a tropopause in high latitudes, about 8 kilometres in elevation. The diagram above reminds us that the air between 150 hPa and 50 hPa in the tropics is cooler than -70°C. It is cooler because of its low ozone content due to erosion by NOx.

On the basis of the diagrams above we can note:

• There is an appreciable presence of NOx at 50 hPa across the northern hemisphere from February through to August. This enhanced presence in the summer season is consistent with biomass burning and the processes of soil decomposition that are more active in summer.
• There is no parallel presence of NOx at 50hPa in the relatively land deficient southern hemisphere from July onward but there is the appearance of anomalously  high concentrations of NOx around the entire globe at about 70° south latitude expanding inwards to occupy the entirety of the polar cap in September and October. This is the Antarctic Ozone hole, a natural feature of the Antarctic atmosphere, not a creation of man via the release of chlorofluorocarbons. That hole will wax and wane with change in atmospheric dynamics related to changing ozone partial pressure over time.
• It is not NOx emanating from below that is the root cause of the generalised ozone deficiency in the southern hemisphere. The only other source of ozone depletion in the southern hemisphere is via straight dilution by a very active polar vortex.
• High levels of NOx in the Arctic atmosphere manifest in March and April  giving rise to the northern hemisphere equivalent of the Antarctic Ozone hole, briefly  manifesting as part of the ‘final warming’ process but rapidly dissipated. It simply does not hold position due to the geography of land and sea. If the Arctic was a land mass surrounded by sea things would be different.

LATERAL INCURSIONS IN THE OZONE PROFILE

Summit Station is located on the Greenland Ice Shelf at 70° north latitude where the partial pressure of ozone attains a strong peak in winter.  This location experiences wide fluctuations in the ozone content of the air according to the origin of the air travelling overhead. Incursions of mid latitude air can produce gaps in the ozone profile as seen below. Notice that the tropopause at this relatively high latitude is located at about 7 kilometres in elevation. The decline of temperature with altitude is reversed at 7 km where the ozone content of the air is a mere 3- 4 parts per million. The ability of ozone to transfer energy acquired by absorption in the infra-red is dependant on the ‘density of the molecular pack’ in a pass the parcel type situation. Notice that an increase in ozone partial pressure at the 50 hPa level is responsible for another small temperature advance. The atmosphere in  high latitudes is never still in winter. The temperature of the air in the stratosphere is much influenced by the descent of mesospheric air  from above that is being actively mixed into the profile as well as the air that arrives from lower latitudes. This pattern of movement is reflected in the meandering of the jet stream that is itself a product of steep gradients in ozone partial pressure, air temperature and density.

Below we have sonde data for ozone partial pressure at Summit Station between late January and September.

This diagram indicates what a localised, non polar, ozone hole can look like in terms of reduced ozone partial pressure. By September, as a product of the increase in the NOx content of the air in summer the ozone profile is extensively eroded below the 50 hPa pressure level (20 km in elevation) so as to establish an ozone maximum at 50 hPa rather than at 100 hPa (15 km) the level that prevails in winter.The green line that shows ozone partial pressure on 22nd April shows a twin peaks in ozone partial pressure due to a deep incursion of mid latitude air centred at an elevation of 15 km.

In the absence of incursions of mid and low latitude air, peak ozone partial pressure is established at 100 hPa or 15 kilometres in elevation.When NOx rich air arrives from low latitudes it is active in reducing ozone partial pressure primarily at and below the 50 hPa  pressure level.

Notice the relative  similarities in the ozone profile below about 7.5 km in elevation. The marked increase in the partial pressure of ozone above this level reverses the decline in atmospheric temperature with elevation creating the ‘tropopause’. Notice that the ‘tropopause’ in no sense marks a boundary between air that has ozone and air that does not. The tropopause is the interface between two types of air, one with NOx and one without NOx. It moves up and down with the seasons according to the presence or absence different sorts of air. The tropopause is a function of the chemistry that is introduced via different parcels of air with very different characteristics. Movement is induced by density differences in line with different ozone partial pressures. The patterns in the juxtaposition of different sorts of air masses is imposed by the west to east rotation of the atmosphere that is most active at the poles.

The diagram below  shows the ozone profile at a number of different latitudes including near equatorial situations where the thickness of the near surface NOx rich layer is greatest.

Pago Pago and Suva exhibit peak ozone partial pressure at  33 kilometres in elevation. That is the thickness of the NOx rich layer.  The thickness of the layer relates to the extent of convection in the tropical atmosphere. Water vapour is also antagonistic to the presence of ozone.

In general ozone is present throughout the atmospheric column even in the near surface atmosphere and is capable of warming the air via the absorption of infra-red radiation at any and all levels.  In higher latitudes where the NOx carrying layer is thin ozone partial pressure rises from about 7 km in elevation strongly influencing the temperature of the air and its density. The lateral contrast  in ozone and air density across the ‘vortex’ gives rise to the strongest winds except those seen in the upper stratosphere in the polar vortex itself. These winds are much stronger than anything that manifests at the surface of the planet except for tropical cyclones of the stronger variety. It should be plain that it the severe gradients in ozone partial pressure in the vicinity of the ‘tropopauses’ (and there can be many) that can establish at any elevation between 7 and 20 km that drives the circulation of the air rather than surface heating in the tropics.That is a ‘primitive’ notion that appears to be plausible. We only need to observe the jet streams to see that reality is otherwise.

NATURE OF THE OZONE PROFILE IN THE ATMOSPHERE

We can conceive of an ‘ozonosphere’ that begins at the mesopause and extends to the surface of the planet. The upper limit of the ozonosphere is the mesopause. At that point the pressure of ionisation of the ozone molecule eases to the degree necessary to allow a sufficient population of ozone molecules to amass so as to warm the atmosphere via the absorption of infra-red. Heating due to the ionisation process itself increases with elevation. It is for this reason that air temperature increases in the ionosphere and the thermosphere. The contribution to atmospheric heating due to the photolysis of ozone  falls away as the atmospheric path lengthens and may be considered to be negligible at the tropopause and in higher elevations at higher latitudes.

Below the mesopause ozone partial pressure increases as the surface is approached and the pressure of ionisation falls away.  It falls away due to the depletion of wave lengths shorter than 315 nm at the upper limit of the UVB part of the spectrum. The ozone content of the atmosphere is therefore in the fist instance  a function of sun angle and the corresponding length of the atmospheric path to absorb short wave lengths a function of latitude markedly increasing in winter. Over the polar cap other dynamics come into play. Closer to the surface, yet other dynamics involving NOx come into play according to latitude. Then in springtime at the poles all three influences produce the curiosity of the ozone hole, an entirely natural circumstance associated with the collapse of the winter circulation as surface pressure at the poles rapidly falls away.

The descent of mesospheric air over the polar cap is required for geostrophic balance due to the continuous ascent of ozone warmed air via the ‘polar vortex’ a high speed cone like circulation that manifests from 100 hPa through to the 1 hPa on the margins of descending cold mesospheric air. There is the associated phenomenon whereby ozone tends to accumulate in zones of low surface pressure over the oceans in mid and high latitudes mushrooming towards the limits of the stratosphere on a periodic basis (a 9-10 day cycle) and at times displacing the vortex from its position of centrality over the pole. The northern vortex in early winter finds a conducive home over Siberia and East Asia rather than over the Arctic Ocean. These phenomena elevate ozone partial pressure at 10 hPa and higher giving rise to amplified variations in temperature over time. The temperature swings increase with increasing altitude as a consequence of convection. Meteorologists map this phenomenon as increased Geopotential Height. Climate theorists have become fond of the notion of ‘planetary waves’, 1, 2 and 3 that relate to the pattern of increase in geopotential height.That particular theory is  gains credibility due to the inability to observe that ozone absorbs infrared and that this is the source of heating in the stratosphere.  If one maintains that the stratosphere is heated by short wave radiation from the sun on an exclusive basis it is difficult to  conceive  that differences in ozone partial pressure could  drive the global circulation of the air from high latitudes in the winter hemisphere.

CONCLUDING REMARKS

The current conceptions as to the nature of the troposphere and the stratosphere are at the root of our inability to understand the ongoing changes in surface climate.

It is the stability and strength of the southern vortex that accounts for the relatively low ozone content of the southern ozonosphere.

Mixing occurs across the vortex and in particular at upper and lower elevations modulating the ozone content of the air across the entire ozonosphere from the active winter pole but with greatest effect in the southern hemisphere.This is simply a matter of the distribution of land and sea.

Without the erosive activity of NOx e in the near surface atmosphere peak ozone partial pressure would be established at the surface of the planet. The ozone maximum at any pressure level is not a function of photolysis and recombination phenomena within an ‘ozone layer’ that establishes at some level within what we have come to call the ‘stratosphere’. Significant ionisation only manifests in the D layer of the ionosphere during daytime hours above 60 km in elevation. Below  60 km , the chief molecule that is ionised is ozone itself via the activity of UVB that is almost entirely used  up in the process. It follows that the ozone content of the air increases with the length of the atmospheric path. The concept of an ‘ozone layer’ is a work of an imagination  that is uninformed by observation.

In the near surface atmosphere NOx proliferates most strongly over land in the northern hemisphere. It actively depletes ozone and especially so in lower latitudes as a function of surface heating  and the rate of evaporation near the equator.

The relatively high ozone content of the atmosphere in the northern hemisphere is due to the weakness and instability of the  northern polar vortex. This in turn gives rise to marked variations in air temperature over the polar cap in winter (and only in winter). NOx actively sculpts ozone from below  in the northern hemisphere but the weakness of the northern vortex ensures that ozone partial pressure is maintained at much higher levels in the northern hemisphere than prevails in the south.

In high latitudes, a very much lower ‘tropopause’ and  therefore much enhanced ozone partial pressure aloft gives rise to very low surface pressure. The reverse is the case in low latitudes. Continuous heating of the atmospheric column in the tropics creates a very light low pressure zone of ascending air but this pales into insignificance when it is compared to the situation at 60-70° south latitude where Polar Cyclones propagate downwards from upper air troughs. The circulation of the lower atmosphere proceeds according to the pressure differentials that are so established. That circulation is the primary determinant of surface temperature impacting the equator to pole temperature gradient.

The most severe differences in local air density manifest across the vortex near the poles. Changes in this domain are more vigorous than elsewhere.  Over extended time scales change in the Antarctic is enormous by comparison with the Arctic.

At any point on the Earths surface the synoptic situation changes on all time scales. The synoptic situation relates to the shape of the ozonosphere. Its shape is the product of influences from above, from below and also sideways. As the shape of the ozonosphere changes so does surface weather and climate.

Source http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/pdf/10.1175/1520-0469(1967)024%3C0569:COTVDO%3E2.0.CO%3B2

Above we see ozone profiles at Albuquerque New Mexico at 35° north latitude reflecting day by day changes in the height of the tropopause and the ozone profile as air masses of tropical and polar origins pass by. It is apparent that change occurs predominantly in the medium that we have assumed to be be both stratified and quiescent. These changes that are the essence of the ‘synoptic situation’ gives rise to the nature of weather and climate on all time scales. Accordingly, the greatest changes in surface temperature occur in the middle of winter  in line with the extreme flux in the ozone content of the air in that season.

Climatology has much to learn and unfortunately a lot to unlearn including the notion that the temperature at the surface is a matter of ‘radiative forcing’ by greenhouse gases. This notion is too simple by far.