NYC CIVIC INTELLIGENCE · WEEKLY OPERATIONS

See the surge
before it lands.

RatRadar turns public complaint history into a weekly operating picture for inspection priority across New York City.

177 ZIP AREAS SCORED

Prediction Date — Next seven-day window

Citywide Risk — Average modeled probability

Test ROC-AUC — Recent chronological holdout

Top-10 Precision — Weekly priority queue quality

THIS WEEK’S RATRADAR BRIEF

Building the citywide brief…

CITYWIDE RISK SURFACE

Where attention moves next

PRIORITY QUEUE

Highest-risk ZIPs

GEOSPATIAL WATCHBOARD

NYC Risk Map

Explore relative complaint-surge probability across mapped ZIP areas.

Average Risk— Across mapped ZIP areas

High / Critical— ZIPs above 60% probability

Highest Signal— Primary driver

LOCAL SIGNAL ANALYSIS

ZIP Intelligence

Trace complaint momentum, baseline behavior, and modeled risk.

SELECT ZIP

WHY THIS ZIP?

—

MODEL CONTROL ROOM

Model Intelligence

Ranking quality, threshold tradeoffs, and the global signal structure.

AUDITABLE PREDICTION TABLE

Data Explorer

Filter the latest scoring run and inspect the signal behind every ZIP.

BOROUGH RISK TIER

— rows

ZIP	Borough	Risk	Tier	Last 7d	Velocity	Primary signal

MODEL CARD · RELEASE 0.2

Methodology

Clear assumptions, strict leakage controls, and responsible interpretation.

CRITICAL INTERPRETATION

A complaint-surge predictor, not a rat census.

311 activity reflects reporting behavior, access, awareness, trust, and local norms in addition to underlying rodent conditions.

01

Prediction unit

One mapped ZIP area × Monday prediction date, forecasting the next seven days.

02

Surge label

Future complaints meet or exceed the ZIP’s past-only expanding 75th percentile.

03

Leakage control

Every lag, baseline, threshold, and validation boundary uses information available at prediction time.

04

Responsible use

Use predictions to prioritize inspection and investigation—not to stigmatize neighborhoods.