Polymarket | The World's Largest Prediction Market

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? card icon

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

9%

chance

$32m Vol.

Fed decision in January? card icon

Fed decision in January?

50+ bps decrease

<1%

25 bps decrease

4%

50+ bps decrease

<1%

25 bps decrease

4%

$370m Vol.

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? card icon

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

17%

chance

$9m Vol.

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs? card icon

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

30%

chance

$3m Vol.

DN Freecs

27%

Dplus KIA

74%

Game 1 • Best of 3

$200k Vol.

•LEAGUE OF-LEGENDS

Hanwha Life Esports

47%

T1

54%

$207k Vol.

•LEAGUE OF-LEGENDS• 10:30 AM

Elon Musk # tweets January 9 - January 16, 2026? card icon

Elon Musk # tweets January 9 - January 16, 2026?

500-519

24%

520-539

53%

500-519

24%

520-539

53%

$14m Vol.

US strikes Iran by...? card icon

US strikes Iran by...?

January 18

8%

January 23

17%

January 18

8%

January 23

17%

$55m Vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? card icon

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

36%

chance

$3m Vol.

Super Bowl Champion 2026

Seattle

23%

Los Angeles R

20%

Seattle

23%

Los Angeles R

20%

$675m Vol.

Insurrection Act invoked by...? card icon

Insurrection Act invoked by...?

January 31

22%

March 31

39%

January 31

22%

March 31

39%

$118k Vol.

Portugal Presidential Election card icon

Portugal Presidential Election

António José Seguro (IND)

75%

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL)

13%

António José Seguro (IND)

75%

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL)

13%

$110m Vol.

Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet? card icon

Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Pam Bondi

27%

Kristi Noem

20%

Pam Bondi

27%

Kristi Noem

20%

$989k Vol.

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair? card icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Warsh

45%

Kevin Hassett

37%

Kevin Warsh

45%

Kevin Hassett

37%

$193m Vol.

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? card icon

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

20%

chance

$11m Vol.

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...? card icon

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?

March 31

4%

May 14

8%

March 31

4%

May 14

8%

$424k Vol.

Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31? card icon

Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31?

26%

chance

$2m Vol.

US next strikes Iran on...? card icon

US next strikes Iran on...?

January 16

3%

January 17

5%

January 16

3%

January 17

5%

$5m Vol.

Presidential Election Winner 2028 card icon

Presidential Election Winner 2028

JD Vance

27%

Gavin Newsom

19%

JD Vance

27%

Gavin Newsom

19%

$191m Vol.

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? card icon

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

42%

chance

$6m Vol.

Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30? card icon

Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?

11%

chance

$104k Vol.

Logan Paul’s Pikachu Illustrator Sale Price card icon

Logan Paul’s Pikachu Illustrator Sale Price

>$4m

99%

>$5m

99%

>$4m

99%

>$5m

99%

$5m Vol.

Grizzlies

100%

Magic

0%

$5m Vol.

•NBA•Jan 15, 7:00 PM

Suns

100%

Pistons

0%

$6m Vol.

•NBA• 12:00 AM

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