False Positive

False Positive

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Betting on Regime Change
Someone made a fortune betting on Maduro's capture. It exemplifies how prediction markets are reducing world events to nothing more than a casino wager.
 • Miles Kellerman
Economic Statecraft on Chaos Mode
Trump’s reversal on Nvidia chip sales to China exposes a deeper rot: U.S. export control policy is running on vibes and private interests.
 • Miles Kellerman
The Case for Financial Crime Bounty Hunters
Our existing systems for detecting financial crime are failing. In a new article, I propose an alternative solution: create a market for detection.
 • Miles Kellerman
What One Mineral Reveals About the U.S.–China Trade War
China has imposed strict controls on the export of antimony. But global supply chains, both legal and illegal, are finding ways to adapt.
 • Miles Kellerman
This Chip will Self-Destruct
The U.S. wants to track the location of every AI microchip. And it also wants the power to remotely shut them down. Can the rest of the world stomach…
 • Miles Kellerman
Crypto's Ventilation Problem
Trump is gutting crypto enforcement while promoting his own meme coin. The real loser is likely to be the industry itself.
 • Miles Kellerman
The Epic Battle over the SEC's Surveillance System
There is a renewed push to eliminate the SEC's Consolidated Audit Trail. How did we get here? And what makes the CAT so threatening?
 • Miles Kellerman
False Positive
False Positive
Finance, Crime, and Global Economic Governance
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False Positive

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