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Gallup's Yearly Party Identification Data Shows Big Partisan Changes
Further evidence from North Carolina's voter registration data (with a Pennsylvania update)
19 hrs ago
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Michael McDonald
3
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Turnout and Margin of Victory in the 2025 Statewide Partisan Races
Low Turnout Special Elections Do Have Useful Information
Nov 8, 2025
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Michael McDonald
3
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Turnout Rates for the 2025 Elections
With comparison to past elections and analysis
Nov 7, 2025
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Michael McDonald
3
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Republicans Have an Enthusiasm Problem
Virginia Voters in the Trumpiest Localities Voted at Lower Rates
Nov 5, 2025
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Michael McDonald
3
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2025 Early Vote Pre-Election Update
I'll add to this post throughout the day as data become available
Nov 3, 2025
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Michael McDonald
5
4
New Jersey Update as of Friday
A quick New Jersey post update as of Friday's data
Nov 2, 2025
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Michael McDonald
1
Virginia 2025 Early Voting Analysis
Perhaps Republicans' best state, with a big catch
Oct 31, 2025
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Michael McDonald
California Early Voting
High turnout, Democratic shift but smaller than elsewhere
Oct 31, 2025
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Michael McDonald
4
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