Founder & CEO — 10x Research

Markus
Thielen.
Market Intelligence.

Former Hedge Fund CIO  ·  Morgan Stanley  ·  JP Morgan  ·  Millennium Capital

One of the most cited crypto analysts globally. Called the 2022 Bitcoin cycle low. Projected $125,000 before consensus. Flagged the 2025 bear market before the drawdown. Research trusted by clients managing over $142 billion in assets.

Markus Thielen
As seen on
$142BAUM by clients
40k+Professional subscribers
764Reports published
20+Years in markets

The calls that defined the cycle.

Oct 2022
Bitcoin Cycle Low — Buy Signal
Identified the Bitcoin cycle low amid peak bearish sentiment when most analysts expected further downside. Called the start of the next bull market.
Read the CoinDesk report →
BTC rallied to $126,000
Jul 2023
$125,000 Cycle Top Projection
Projected a $125,000 cycle top following Bitcoin’s breakout to a new 12-month high — two years before the target was reached. Published in CoinDesk.
Read the CoinDesk report →
Target hit within 2%
Oct 2025
Bear Market Warning — Take Profits
Identified the start of a structural bear market as on-chain momentum weakened and key levels broke down. Clients advised to reduce exposure before the drawdown accelerated.
Read the Yahoo Finance report →
Drawdown followed
2022–Now
Systematic Signals — Every Major Turn
Our proprietary signal framework has identified every major Bitcoin turning point since 2022. 764 reports published. Every major cycle turn called ahead of consensus.
Consistent edge

Regime model vs. buy-and-hold Bitcoin.

Our proprietary signal framework switches between fully invested and cash positions based on on-chain momentum, funding rates, and macro regime signals. The result: higher returns with significantly lower drawdowns than passive Bitcoin exposure.

10x Regime Model
Bitcoin Buy & Hold
+847%Model return (2019–2025)
+312%BTC buy & hold same period
−38%Max model drawdown
−77%Max BTC drawdown

Illustrative backtest. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Model enters cash during identified bear market regimes.

Watch Markus in action.

Bloomberg
Bitcoin market outlook & cycle analysis
CNBC
Crypto market structure & macro signals
Interview
Bitcoin cycle positioning & signals framework
Market Analysis
On-chain data & institutional flows
Macro
Dollar debasement, gold & the new monetary order
Research
Systematic signals & regime detection
Prediction Markets
Structural inefficiencies & the fourth arbitrage
Space Economy
The $1 trillion frontier & SpaceX IPO thesis
CoinDesk
Bitcoin volatility edge & options framework

Two decades of institutional edge.

Markus Thielen is the founder and CEO of 10x Research, a Singapore-based digital asset research firm trusted by clients managing over $142 billion in assets — including hedge funds, asset managers, sovereign wealth funds, and trading firms.

He began his career at Morgan Stanley in Hong Kong building out Quantitative and Derivatives Strategy across Asia, then spent seven years at JP Morgan’s Chief Investment Office managing equity, currency, and rates portfolios. He subsequently ran a macro portfolio at Millennium Capital Partners in London before founding 10x Research in November 2023.

He is the author of Crypto Titans: How Trillions Were Made and Billions Lost in the Cryptocurrency Markets (4.9/5), holds an MSci in Finance from ESCP Paris, and is one of the most quoted crypto analysts globally.

Head of Research & Founder — 10x ResearchSingapore, 2023 — present
Head of Research & Strategy — Matrixport$7B digital asset platform
CIO & Founder — Jomon Investment ManagementGlobal Macro Fund
Macro Portfolio Manager — Millennium CapitalMacro Portfolio Manager
Chief Investment Office — JP MorganMacro Portfolio Manager
Quant & Derivatives Strategies — Morgan StanleyHead of QDS, Asia
Crypto Titans book cover
Crypto Titans
How Trillions Were Made and Billions Lost in the Cryptocurrency Markets. Foreword by Jihan Wu.
★★★★★4.9 / 5
Get the Book →
★★★★★

“10x Research provides the institutional analysis required to stay on top of the market. When accuracy and on-chain statistics are your bible, 10x are the go-to guys.”

Michael Prendiville, CEO
JellyC, Australia
★★★★★

“10x Research has been invaluable in helping us make the right market calls when managing the Injective Foundation’s treasury. Their data-driven analysis provides the clarity we need.”

Gyanesh Maheshwar, Head of Treasury
Injective Foundation, United States
★★★★★

“10x Research is an elite research platform in the digital asset space. Not shy about having a contrarian view nor adapting when the data changes — all of which has led me to better investment decisions.”

Rishi Ramchandani, Head of APAC Web3
Google Cloud, Singapore

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All content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security or digital asset. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Operated by 10x Research Pte. Ltd., Singapore (UEN: 202346933M).