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Russia's unrealistic budget plan
Officially, Russia expects a budget deficit of 2.6% of GDP this year. It will be closer to 3.5% of GDP unless a miracle happens.
 • Janis Kluge
Russian recruitment and casualties in Q3 / 2025
According to regional data, Russian recruitment is still stable. Several regions lowered their bonuses. Payouts to families of killed soldiers indicate…
 • Janis Kluge
How many Russian soldiers died - according to regional budgets?
This post presents a new method for estimating the number of Russian fatalities based on budget spending in certain Russian regions. The results appear…
 • Janis Kluge
Russia still recruits 1,000 soldiers per day, but costs continue to rise
Recent increases in sign-on bonuses in several regions suggest mounting pressure to boost the number of recruits.
 • Janis Kluge
New & improved Russian budget browser
The latest version allows you to analyze federal budget laws and execution data from 2018 to 2025, as well as filter by military spending.
 • Janis Kluge
Writing off regional debt to fund the war
Moscow is allowing Russian regions to write off up to 2/3 of their debt. While the official goal of the program is to enable more investment in housing…
 • Janis Kluge
Russian recruitment: The first half of 2025
Recruitment has slowed down from the ~40,000 per month seen in March and April to slightly below 30,000 in May and June. Russia has spent at least $4…
 • Janis Kluge
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