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JOE Job Market Tracker

Analysis tool for tracking economics job market postings from the American Economic Association's Job Openings for Economists (JOE).

Features

  • Cumulative posting trends by week across multiple years (2015-2025)
  • Rolling 4-week flow analysis to smooth out weekly fluctuations
  • Multiple filter views:
    • Overall market
    • Finance jobs (based on JEL G classifications)
    • Federal Reserve and bank regulator positions
    • US vs. Non-US jobs
    • Regional analysis (US, Canada+Europe, Asia)
    • Job type (Tenure Track, Non-Tenure Academic, Industry)
  • Interactive HTML plots and static PNG charts
  • Current week interpolation for more accurate mid-week comparisons

Installation

pip install pandas matplotlib plotly seaborn openpyxl

Usage

Basic Analysis

Run the standard analysis without interpolation:

python3 analyze_jobs.py

This generates:

  • Static PNG charts for all categories
  • Interactive HTML visualizations
  • Summary statistics for each year

Interpolated Analysis

Run analysis with current week interpolation:

python3 analyze_jobs.py --interpolate

How Interpolation Works

When the --interpolate flag is used, the script:

  1. Detects the current day of the week (Monday = day 1, Sunday = day 7)
  2. Calculates what fraction of the current week has elapsed
  3. Projects the current week's posting count to a full-week estimate
  4. Updates all 2025 cumulative totals accordingly

Example:

  • Current day: Monday (day 1 of 7, or 14.3% of week)
  • Postings so far this week: 15
  • Interpolated full-week count: 15 / 0.143 ≈ 105
  • Added to cumulative: +90 postings

When to use interpolation:

  • Mid-week comparisons to understand if 2025 is tracking ahead/behind prior years
  • Blog posts or reports generated during the week
  • Real-time monitoring of market trends

When NOT to use interpolation:

  • Final end-of-season analysis (use actual data)
  • Early in the week (Monday/Tuesday) when estimates are less reliable
  • When postings are clustered at specific times during the week

Note: The interpolation assumes an even distribution of postings throughout the week, which may not reflect actual posting patterns. Use with appropriate context.

Output Files

All outputs are saved to the current directory:

Without interpolation:

  • job_postings_by_week.html - Interactive cumulative chart
  • job_postings_rolling_4wk.html - Interactive rolling 4-week chart
  • Plus category-specific files (finance, fed, us, non_us, regions, job types)

With interpolation:

  • All files get _interpolated suffix (e.g., job_postings_by_week_interpolated.html)

Data Format

The script expects Excel files in a data/ directory with the following columns:

  • Date_Active - When the posting became active
  • JEL_Classifications - JEL classification codes
  • jp_institution - Institution name
  • jp_section - Job posting section (Tenure Track, Nonacademic, etc.)
  • locations - Geographic location information

Analysis Categories

Overall Market

All postings across all categories

Finance Jobs

Filtered to positions with "G - Financial Economics" JEL classification

Fed/Regulator Jobs

Positions at:

  • Federal Reserve Banks (all districts)
  • Board of Governors
  • FDIC
  • OCC

Geographic Analysis

  • US vs. Non-US: Split between United States and international positions
  • Regional: US, Canada+Europe, and Asia breakdowns

Job Type Analysis

  • Tenure Track: Tenure-track or tenured positions
  • Non-Tenure Academic: Visiting, temporary, part-time, adjunct positions
  • Industry: All nonacademic positions

Technical Details

  • Academic year calculation: Starts from week 31 (early August)
  • Week numbering: ISO week numbers, adjusted relative to start of academic job market
  • Interpolation: Linear projection based on elapsed days in current week
  • Rolling window: 4-week moving average for smoothing

Author

Created for tracking the economics job market. Data sourced from the AEA's Job Openings for Economists.

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