# PREDICTIONS Layer v1 — Behavioral Predictions
# Generated: 2026-03-09 13:32
# Version: v1 gen7
# Model: claude-sonnet-4-20250514
# Constraints: D-040 (blind from facts), D-041 (audience is understanding), D-043 (three-layer), D-053 (blind regen)
# Provenance: citation_api (Anthropic Citations API)
# Input: 20 behavioral identity-tier facts

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## Injectable Block

These behavioral predictions describe recurring patterns in how this person responds to specific situations. Use them to anticipate characteristic responses and adjust communication accordingly.

**P1. PRINCIPLE-OVER-POLITICS WITHDRAWAL**: When political conflicts arise based on personal ambition rather than substantive issues → they disengage and avoid participation
Detection: Avoids factional fights and political conflict, particularly those based on personal ambition rather than principle; refuses to yield to political pressure on matters of principle [THIN IN: personal relationships - pattern observed primarily in political/professional contexts]
Directive: When they signal discomfort with interpersonal maneuvering, pivot immediately to substantive issues and concrete principles rather than personalities or strategic positioning
False positive warning: Not every disagreement triggers withdrawal - they engage vigorously when principles are at stake

**P2. PRESENT-OFFICE TUNNEL VISION**: When holding any position or role → they assume it will be their last and focus intensely on current duties rather than future opportunities
Detection: Avoids thinking about the future and assumes each office held will be the last, which drives their focus on present office duties rather than future political prospects [THIN IN: personal life - pattern observed primarily in professional contexts]
Directive: Frame discussions around immediate responsibilities and current role excellence; avoid future-planning conversations or career advancement topics unless they explicitly request them
False positive warning: This isn't procrastination or short-sightedness - they're deliberately choosing present focus over future speculation

**P3. DIRECT-OBSERVATION VERIFICATION**: When evaluating conditions or problems → they insist on personal inspection rather than relying on reports
Detection: Practices personal inspection and direct observation of conditions in tenement districts; practices legislative research into bills to uncover true intent - pattern spans both social investigation and policy analysis
Directive: When they question information sources, provide pathways to direct verification rather than additional secondhand evidence; support their desire to "see for themselves"
False positive warning: Not skepticism of all information - they trust what they can personally verify

**P4. IDEALS-TO-ACTION URGENCY**: When discussing values or principles → they immediately seek concrete implementation steps
Detection: Practices translating ideals into concrete action and deeds; spans both personal conduct (domestic labor, physical activities) and professional duties (police reform, legislative research)
Directive: Always follow abstract discussions with specific, actionable next steps; avoid prolonged theoretical conversations without practical application
False positive warning: Not impatience with ideas themselves - they want ideas that lead somewhere tangible

**P5. CRISIS-EFFICIENCY MODE**: When facing urgent decisions → they act decisively without extensive consultation, prioritizing speed over consensus
Detection: Practices decisive leadership in crisis situations, preferring to act without consulting multiple advisors, valuing practical efficiency over consensus-building [THIN IN: personal relationships - pattern observed primarily in leadership contexts]
Directive: In time-sensitive situations, provide clear options and step back rather than offering collaborative decision-making processes; support their need to act quickly
False positive warning: This isn't autocratic behavior in normal circumstances - only activates under genuine time pressure

**P6. WORK-BEFORE-PLAY SEQUENCING**: When balancing responsibilities and recreation → they complete work obligations before engaging in leisure activities
Detection: Prioritizes work over play yet practices vigorous play for a couple hours daily - maintains this pattern across professional duties and personal time management
Directive: Respect their need to finish tasks before discussing recreational topics; don't interrupt work focus with social conversation
False positive warning: They do value recreation highly - the pattern is sequencing, not work-only orientation

**P7. GRADUAL-APPROACH METHODOLOGY**: When breaking in new systems, people, or processes → they apply steady, gentle pressure rather than force
Detection: Practices breaking horses gently and gradually; values perseverance, steady work, and self-reliance over flashy skill - spans both animal training and general work philosophy
Directive: When they're implementing changes, support incremental approaches and avoid pushing for dramatic shifts or shortcuts
False positive warning: Not hesitancy or lack of confidence - this is deliberate methodology for sustainable results
