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Fix risk rule references based on PR review feedback
- Correct PoliticianLazy.drl reference: Rule #1 (not #5) - Correct PoliticianDecliningEngagement.drl reference: Rule #4 (not #23) - Correct PoliticianIsolatedBehavior.drl reference: Rule #9 (not #22) - Replace non-existent PartyDecliningGovernmentSupportPercentage.drl with PartyDecliningPerformance.drl (Rule #2) - Replace non-existent PartyCoalitionDrift.drl with PartyInconsistentBehavior.drl - Replace non-existent OppositionCoordinationIncrease.drl with PartyLowCollaboration.drl - Update all cross-reference anchors to match RISK_RULES_INTOP_OSINT.md heading format Co-authored-by: pethers <1726836+pethers@users.noreply.github.com>
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‎DATA_ANALYSIS_INTOP_OSINT.md‎

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@@ -490,8 +490,8 @@ pie title "Resignation Probability - Lars Andersson"
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- ✅ **Strategic Insight**: Correlates with broader party morale issues (Social Democrats down 3.2% in polls)
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**Cross-Reference**:
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- [RISK_RULES_INTOP_OSINT.md - Rule #5: PoliticianLazy.drl](RISK_RULES_INTOP_OSINT.md#rule-5-politicianlazydrl)
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- [RISK_RULES_INTOP_OSINT.md - Rule #23: PoliticianDecliningEngagement.drl](RISK_RULES_INTOP_OSINT.md#rule-23-politiciandecliningengagementdrl)
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- [RISK_RULES_INTOP_OSINT.md - Rule #1: PoliticianLazy.drl](RISK_RULES_INTOP_OSINT.md#1-politicianlazydrl-absenteeism-detection)
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- [RISK_RULES_INTOP_OSINT.md - Rule #4: PoliticianDecliningEngagement.drl](RISK_RULES_INTOP_OSINT.md#4-politiciandecliningengagementdrl-trend-analysis)
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- [DATABASE_VIEW_INTELLIGENCE_CATALOG.md - View: view_riksdagen_vote_data_ballot_politician_summary_monthly](DATABASE_VIEW_INTELLIGENCE_CATALOG.md#view_riksdagen_vote_data_ballot_politician_summary_monthly)
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**Data Validation**: ✅ Query validated against schema version 1.29 (2025-11-21)
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| Opposition Unity (S-V-MP) | 84.3% | 82.1% ± 3.8% | 🟡 WATCH | Opposition increasingly coordinated |
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**Risk Rule Activations**:
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- 🟠 **MAJOR**: `PartyDecliningGovernmentSupportPercentage.drl` - Centre Party alignment declining for 4 consecutive months
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- 🟡 **MINOR**: `PartyCoalitionDrift.drl` - Core coalition alignment -2.3% from historical baseline
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- 🟡 **MINOR**: `OppositionCoordinationIncrease.drl` - Opposition unity trending upward
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- 🟠 **MAJOR**: `PartyDecliningPerformance.drl` - Centre Party alignment declining for 4 consecutive months
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- 🟡 **MINOR**: `PartyInconsistentBehavior.drl` - Core coalition alignment -2.3% from historical baseline (erratic pattern)
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- 🟡 **MINOR**: `PartyLowCollaboration.drl` - Opposition unity trending upward (increased coordination)
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**Coalition Stability Trend - 12-Month Analysis**:
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@@ -777,7 +777,7 @@ pie title "Coalition Stability Forecast - Next 6 Months"
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5. ⚠️ **Warning**: If Centre Party alignment drops below 85%, escalate to CRITICAL risk
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**Cross-Reference**:
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- [RISK_RULES_INTOP_OSINT.md - Rule #38: PartyDecliningGovernmentSupportPercentage.drl](RISK_RULES_INTOP_OSINT.md#rule-38-partydeclininggovernmentsupportpercentagedrl)
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- [RISK_RULES_INTOP_OSINT.md - Rule #2: PartyDecliningPerformance.drl](RISK_RULES_INTOP_OSINT.md#2-partydecliningperformancedrl-performance-trend-analysis-and-early-warning)
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- [DATABASE_VIEW_INTELLIGENCE_CATALOG.md - View: view_riksdagen_coalition_alignment_matrix](DATABASE_VIEW_INTELLIGENCE_CATALOG.md#view_riksdagen_coalition_alignment_matrix)
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**Data Validation**: ✅ Query validated against schema version 1.29 (2025-11-21)
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5. ⚠️ **Early Warning**: If Centre Party alignment drops below 75%, escalate to CRITICAL coalition risk
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**Cross-Reference**:
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- [RISK_RULES_INTOP_OSINT.md - Rule #38: PartyDecliningGovernmentSupportPercentage.drl](RISK_RULES_INTOP_OSINT.md#rule-38-partydeclininggovernmentsupportpercentagedrl)
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- [RISK_RULES_INTOP_OSINT.md - Rule #2: PartyDecliningPerformance.drl](RISK_RULES_INTOP_OSINT.md#2-partydecliningperformancedrl-performance-trend-analysis-and-early-warning)
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- [DATABASE_VIEW_INTELLIGENCE_CATALOG.md - View: view_riksdagen_vote_data_ballot_party_summary](DATABASE_VIEW_INTELLIGENCE_CATALOG.md#view_riksdagen_vote_data_ballot_party_summary)
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- [DATABASE_VIEW_INTELLIGENCE_CATALOG.md - View: view_riksdagen_party_coalation_against_annual_summary](DATABASE_VIEW_INTELLIGENCE_CATALOG.md#view_riksdagen_party_coalation_against_annual_summary)
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| **1 day** | Final SD parliamentary group meeting | Pending | ⚠️ WATCH |
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**Cross-Reference**:
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- [RISK_RULES_INTOP_OSINT.md - Rule #38: PartyDecliningGovernmentSupportPercentage.drl](RISK_RULES_INTOP_OSINT.md#rule-38-partydeclininggovernmentsupportpercentagedrl)
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- [RISK_RULES_INTOP_OSINT.md - Rule #2: PartyDecliningPerformance.drl](RISK_RULES_INTOP_OSINT.md#2-partydecliningperformancedrl-performance-trend-analysis-and-early-warning)
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- [DATABASE_VIEW_INTELLIGENCE_CATALOG.md - View: view_riksdagen_vote_data_ballot_party_summary](DATABASE_VIEW_INTELLIGENCE_CATALOG.md#view_riksdagen_vote_data_ballot_party_summary)
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- [DATABASE_VIEW_INTELLIGENCE_CATALOG.md - View: view_riksdagen_party_ballot_support_annual_summary](DATABASE_VIEW_INTELLIGENCE_CATALOG.md#view_riksdagen_party_ballot_support_annual_summary)
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- **Communication Style**: High media visibility (2.3x average press mentions)
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**Cross-Reference**:
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- [RISK_RULES_INTOP_OSINT.md - Rule #22: PoliticianIsolatedBehavior.drl](RISK_RULES_INTOP_OSINT.md#rule-22-politicianisolatedbehaviordrl)
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- [RISK_RULES_INTOP_OSINT.md - Rule #9: PoliticianIsolatedBehavior.drl](RISK_RULES_INTOP_OSINT.md#9-politicianisolatedbehaviordrl-collaboration-analysis)
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- [DATABASE_VIEW_INTELLIGENCE_CATALOG.md - View: view_riksdagen_committee_role_member](DATABASE_VIEW_INTELLIGENCE_CATALOG.md#view_riksdagen_committee_role_member)
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- [DATABASE_VIEW_INTELLIGENCE_CATALOG.md - View: view_riksdagen_politician_influence_metrics](DATABASE_VIEW_INTELLIGENCE_CATALOG.md#view_riksdagen_politician_influence_metrics)
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