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Mutual Vulnerability in Human-AI Futures
What ecology, geopolitics, and technological history teach us about preserving human agency in an AI-transformed world.
Jan 8
AI-Induced Psychosis and the Risks of Belief Amplification
How large language models interact with human vulnerability—and why it matters for national security and AGI
Dec 18, 2025
Thinking about a Comprehensive U.S. AI Strategy
The U.S. needs a unified, forward-looking AI strategy to boost national competitiveness.
Dec 10, 2025
Good Scenarios, Hard Choices: Applying DMDU to AGI Futures
How can policymakers use decisionmaking under deep uncertainty to craft strategy for an uncertain AGI future?
Dec 4, 2025
Taking AGI Seriously, Not Literally
Lessons from two years working on the Geopolitics of AGI at RAND
Nov 25, 2025
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Hedging Our Bets: Is the United States Concentrated on a Single AI Strategy?
Exploring what concentration means for risk and resilience in the race for AGI
Nov 20, 2025
Working with Japan and Korea to Compete with China on AI
Allies are an asymmetric advantage for the U.S. in the tech race.
Nov 10, 2025
Can Humans Devise Practical Safeguards That Are Reliable Against an Artificial Superintelligent Agent?
If superintelligence emerges, it will still operate within the constraints of computation, information theory, and physics.
Nov 3, 2025
Action without Agreement
Prudent planning for AGI futures does not require consensus on AGI risks
Oct 28, 2025
The Agency Trade-Off
Weighing AI autonomy against its economic promise and potential risks
Oct 21, 2025
When the Future Doesn’t Wait
Lessons from 52 “Day After AGI” simulations
Oct 16, 2025
Where Does AI Fit In China’s Upcoming 15th Five-Year Plan?
China has a visible national AI objective.
Oct 14, 2025
Don’t Sweat the AGI Race
Why concerns about catastrophic instability are overblown
Oct 2, 2025
The AGI Race and International Security
Why the path may matter more than the destination
Sep 25, 2025
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Geopolitics of AGI
Exploring the strategic implications of artificial general intelligence (AGI).
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