Every month, we ask top computer scientists, economists, industry leaders, policy experts and superforecasters for their AI predictions. Here’s what we learned from the first three months of forecasts
Impressive work! LEAP provides a comprehensive, data-driven view of AI’s potential, and the depth of expert insight and transparency in methodology is truly commendable.
I talk about the latest AI trends and insights. If you’re curious about what top experts and superforecasters predict for AI’s impact on work, science, and society, check out my Substack. I am sure you’ll find it very relevant and relatable.
Thank you for sharing. I really enjoyed reading that very different perspective. It is very apparent where the frontier leaders are so much more bullish on when AGI is achieved versus a median expert. Also, it was interesting to read about the expert versus public perceptions. Looking forward to the next one.
Very interesting research, I am really looking forward to reading about your next iteration! While this is less relevant for your research given that it's focused on the US alone is the role of the institutional setting for rapid diffusion of AI. It will be interesting to see in international comparison how different institutional settings lead to different outcomes: https://workcode.substack.com/p/toward-an-ai-age-wirtschaftswunder
Hey, great read as always. Truly methodical.
Impressive work! LEAP provides a comprehensive, data-driven view of AI’s potential, and the depth of expert insight and transparency in methodology is truly commendable.
I talk about the latest AI trends and insights. If you’re curious about what top experts and superforecasters predict for AI’s impact on work, science, and society, check out my Substack. I am sure you’ll find it very relevant and relatable.
Thank you for sharing. I really enjoyed reading that very different perspective. It is very apparent where the frontier leaders are so much more bullish on when AGI is achieved versus a median expert. Also, it was interesting to read about the expert versus public perceptions. Looking forward to the next one.
Very interesting research, I am really looking forward to reading about your next iteration! While this is less relevant for your research given that it's focused on the US alone is the role of the institutional setting for rapid diffusion of AI. It will be interesting to see in international comparison how different institutional settings lead to different outcomes: https://workcode.substack.com/p/toward-an-ai-age-wirtschaftswunder