fivethirtyeightindex

Explore 38,593 articles, datasets, podcasts, graphics and illustrations from fivethirtyeight.com

Frequently Asked Questions, Last Revised 8/7/08Nate Silver
Pollster Ratings v1.0Nate Silver
Summary Results, 3/7/2008Nate Silver
A Reality Check on South Dakota?Nate Silver
Still in Beta Test ModeNate Silver
Still in Beta Test ModeNate Silver
RegionsNate Silver
FAQNate Silver
538 versus IntradeNate Silver
Moving beyond the Big ThreeNate Silver

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Four US bubble maps comparing campaign office counts by state for Obama 2012, Clinton 2016, Romney 2012, and Trump 2016, showing Obama had the most extensive ground game.Heatmap showing NCAA tournament upset percentages by seed matchup across all rounds, with darker red indicating higher upset rates.Line chart showing Gary Johnson's FiveThirtyEight polls-only national polling average declining from around 8% in June to about 6% in October 2016.Table showing Republican candidates' performance vs. polling forecasts in densely polled states, with color-coded positive and negative deviations for Romney, Santorum, Gingrich, and Paul.Table listing MLB All-Star Game players with their season, age on day of ASG, starting position, and WAR through June, sorted by WAR value.Heat map comparing field locations of completed passes by Matthew Stafford vs. all quarterbacks against the San Francisco 49ers during the 2021 NFL season through the divisional playoffs.Google Books Ngram Viewer screenshot showing frequency trends for strict construction, originalism, textualism, and judicial activism in American English books from 1940 to 2008.Map of Colombia showing regional election results with most departments in orange for Juan Manuel Santos and a small southern region in dark green for Antanas Mockus.Line chart showing the number of law enforcement officer deaths per year from 1970 to 2016, with a notable spike around 2001 due to 9/11 and an overall declining trend.Line chart showing Martin-Quinn ideology scores for Supreme Court Justices Roberts and Alito from 2005 to 2015, illustrating that Alito has not shifted left.Four US bubble maps comparing campaign office counts by state for Obama 2012, Clinton 2016, Romney 2012, and Trump 2016, showing Obama had the most extensive ground game.Heatmap showing NCAA tournament upset percentages by seed matchup across all rounds, with darker red indicating higher upset rates.Line chart showing Gary Johnson's FiveThirtyEight polls-only national polling average declining from around 8% in June to about 6% in October 2016.Table showing Republican candidates' performance vs. polling forecasts in densely polled states, with color-coded positive and negative deviations for Romney, Santorum, Gingrich, and Paul.Table listing MLB All-Star Game players with their season, age on day of ASG, starting position, and WAR through June, sorted by WAR value.Heat map comparing field locations of completed passes by Matthew Stafford vs. all quarterbacks against the San Francisco 49ers during the 2021 NFL season through the divisional playoffs.Google Books Ngram Viewer screenshot showing frequency trends for strict construction, originalism, textualism, and judicial activism in American English books from 1940 to 2008.Map of Colombia showing regional election results with most departments in orange for Juan Manuel Santos and a small southern region in dark green for Antanas Mockus.Line chart showing the number of law enforcement officer deaths per year from 1970 to 2016, with a notable spike around 2001 due to 9/11 and an overall declining trend.Line chart showing Martin-Quinn ideology scores for Supreme Court Justices Roberts and Alito from 2005 to 2015, illustrating that Alito has not shifted left.

Illustrations

Editorial illustration showing a white engraved tooth surrounded by orange and blue stylized bacterial or viral cells on a purple background.Editorial illustration of retro computer machines displaying dot charts and a US map, symbolizing data journalism or election forecasting technology.Two circular icons on a teal background showing a mobile phone allowed on the left and a mobile phone prohibited (with a slash) on the right.Illustrated I Voted stickers shaped like the states of Ohio and Indiana with patriotic red, white, and blue designs on a pink background.Editorial illustration of a drawn face with a speech bubble quote reading 'I just think he's too boring. I respect him, but I just think he's not interesting.'Stylized illustration of purple hands holding a flaming torch against a light blue cloud background, rendered in a bold editorial cartoon style.Editorial illustration of an NFL locker room showing old Washington Redskins helmets being packed away in a box alongside Kansas City Chiefs gear, commenting on team name controversies.Collage of blue-tinted headshots of 2020 Democratic presidential candidates with Joe Biden's face largest in the center and a few faces in red tones.Editorial illustration showing the US Capitol dome with red, white, and blue bunting flags and the text House Election Update in purple letters.Editorial illustration showing duotone images of two presidential candidates with the word PRESIDENT and a Final Update badge, used as a FiveThirtyEight election forecast header.Editorial illustration showing a white engraved tooth surrounded by orange and blue stylized bacterial or viral cells on a purple background.Editorial illustration of retro computer machines displaying dot charts and a US map, symbolizing data journalism or election forecasting technology.Two circular icons on a teal background showing a mobile phone allowed on the left and a mobile phone prohibited (with a slash) on the right.Illustrated I Voted stickers shaped like the states of Ohio and Indiana with patriotic red, white, and blue designs on a pink background.Editorial illustration of a drawn face with a speech bubble quote reading 'I just think he's too boring. I respect him, but I just think he's not interesting.'Stylized illustration of purple hands holding a flaming torch against a light blue cloud background, rendered in a bold editorial cartoon style.Editorial illustration of an NFL locker room showing old Washington Redskins helmets being packed away in a box alongside Kansas City Chiefs gear, commenting on team name controversies.Collage of blue-tinted headshots of 2020 Democratic presidential candidates with Joe Biden's face largest in the center and a few faces in red tones.Editorial illustration showing the US Capitol dome with red, white, and blue bunting flags and the text House Election Update in purple letters.Editorial illustration showing duotone images of two presidential candidates with the word PRESIDENT and a Final Update badge, used as a FiveThirtyEight election forecast header.