Polybundle

Inspiration Prediction markets contain powerful forecasts about real-world events, but today they are mostly used for speculation. We wanted to transform those signals into something more useful: tools that help people hedge real-world risks like inflation, geopolitics, or regulation.

What it does PolyBundle is an AI financial advisor that analyzes prediction markets and builds event-based hedge portfolios. Users describe a risk they are worried about, and the platform automatically generates a bundle of prediction market contracts that protects against that scenario.

How we built it We built a React-based frontend and integrated the Polymarket API to access real-time prediction market data. An AI risk parser analyzes user prompts to identify risk types, sectors, and regions, and then constructs structured portfolios of relevant contracts.

Challenges we ran into The hardest challenges were connecting prediction market data reliably, structuring risk signals into meaningful portfolios, and preventing duplicate or low-quality markets from appearing in bundles.

Accomplishments that we're proud of We built a working system that converts real-world risks into structured hedge portfolios using live prediction market data and an AI-driven advisor interface.

What we learned We learned how powerful prediction market probabilities can be when structured properly, and how AI can translate vague human concerns into actionable financial strategies.

What's next for PolyBundle Next we want to expand the AI portfolio engine, build better global risk dashboards, and develop automated hedging strategies that update dynamically as event probabilities change.

Built With

• react
• vite