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Thirty House Races to Watch (Updated 1/13/26)
A sampling of 2026's competitive House races.
Apr 26, 2025
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Brad Van Arnum
51
27
16
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What New Jersey Tells Us About 2026
The 2026 midterms could very well be a blue wave, but Democratic gains will likely take a different form than in 2018.
Nov 22, 2025
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Brad Van Arnum
26
16
10
What if the Midterms Were Held This Week?
A brief look at how many House seats Democrats might gain.
Jul 6, 2025
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Brad Van Arnum
36
12
8
The Key Senate Races of 2026
An early assessment of the most competitive Senate seats in 2026.
Mar 8, 2025
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Brad Van Arnum
59
40
20
Pennsylvania: The Ultimate Swing State
A brief look at the 2024 presidential results in Pennsylvania. Plus, how three Congressional districts in PA could flip the House in 2026.
Feb 8, 2025
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Brad Van Arnum
25
9
8
Michigan: A Look at 2024 and 2026
An overview of how Michigan flipped red in 2024. Plus, a very early look at Michigan's key races in 2026.
Jan 11, 2025
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Brad Van Arnum
21
12
9
Georgia: Polarized as Ever
An overview of the 2024 election results in Georgia.
Dec 21, 2024
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Brad Van Arnum
10
1
3
Why the Red Wave Stopped at the House
The Democratic coalition of 2024 overperformed in the House, despite national headwinds.
Nov 29, 2024
•
Brad Van Arnum
26
9
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Countdown to 2026
I write about the 2026 midterm elections, and which Senate/House seats Democrats should try to flip blue.
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