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Feature image for Stop Worrying About Survivorship Bias With This One Weird Trick

Stop Worrying About Survivorship Bias With This One Weird Trick

Why successful investors and businesspeople tell you to learn from business history — and what they do so survivorship bias isn’t a problem.

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The Creation of a Skilled Tycoon

What it looks like when an Asian tycoon gets good at the game of business.

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The Shape of The Game We Play

The weird thing about learning business is that some things must be learnt through practice, but some things are best learnt through reading.

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What is a Tech Bubble Anyway?

What Data General and the minicomputer boom can tell us about our present moment.

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The Only Thing That Matters

Business skill as the ability to cut a messy business problem down to a single, most important thing.

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Letter to a Young Person Worrying About AI

It is a common misperception that you must be able to predict the future to do well. But it’s possible to act without prediction, even in the face of AI. This is how.

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Completing Commoncog’s Repositioning (and Going On Paternity Leave)

Notes on Commoncog’s 2025 repositioning, and taking a month off.

Feature image for How to Use AI Without Becoming Stupid

How to Use AI Without Becoming Stupid

A simple, universal rule for AI use, built on top of some smart philosophy, designed to be used as guiding policy for your business.

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The Joy of Small Markets

If you want to get rich, the irony is that small markets are often better than large ones.

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Feature image for Chaos and Coherence in Business

Chaos and Coherence in Business

Learning the right lessons from my old boss, in the wake of a successful acquisition.