{"id":1185,"date":"2016-07-26T10:00:04","date_gmt":"2016-07-26T17:00:04","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/cholesterolcode.com\/?p=1185"},"modified":"2018-07-05T10:34:17","modified_gmt":"2018-07-05T17:34:17","slug":"prediction-contest","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cholesterolcode.com\/prediction-contest\/","title":{"rendered":"Prediction Contest"},"content":{"rendered":"<table style=\"border-collapse: collapse;\" border=\"2\" cellspacing=\"0\" cellpadding=\"0\">\n<colgroup>\n<col width=\"\" \/> <\/colgroup>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"right\" bgcolor=\"#000000\" width=\"\" height=\"\">\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong><span style=\"color: #ffffff;\">Note from Dave: This post is actually a replacement due to the previous Twitter Prediction post being weirdly targeted by spambots.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>If you&#8217;ve read my series up to this point, you know the pattern being identified should be not only be reproducible, but <em>predictive<\/em>. So for my 22nd blood test, I decided to have a little fun. Instead of predicting about where it landed myself, I\u00a0tweeted&#8230;<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-lang=\"en\">\n<p dir=\"ltr\" lang=\"en\">I need a few twitter volunteers from the audience&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Dave Keto (@DaveKeto) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/DaveKeto\/status\/751090077535604737\">July 7, 2016<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script src=\"\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" async=\"\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><br \/>\nI got three: <strong>Raphi Sirt \u200f@raphaels7<\/strong>, <strong>Richard Morris \u200f@khiron<\/strong>, and <strong>Jeff Winkler \u200f@winkler1<\/strong>. I invited them to a secret page with these instructions:<\/p>\n<ol>\n<li>Review the graph below. It has <span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">21 points plotted in the red line<\/span> and <span style=\"color: #0000ff;\">22 points plotted in the blue<\/span>.<\/li>\n<li>Make your best guess as to where the next point will be on <span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">the red line<\/span>.<\/li>\n<li>Tweet a funny sentence about anything that includes:\n<ol>\n<li>@DaveKeto<\/li>\n<li>#Predict<\/li>\n<li>(Your predicted number)<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<h2><a href=\"http:\/\/cholesterolcode.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/07\/prediction_graph.png\">Click here for the larger sized graph<\/a><\/h2>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-123\" src=\"http:\/\/cholesterolcode.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/07\/prediction_graph.png\" alt=\"prediction_graph\" width=\"1344\" height=\"810\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cholesterolcode.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/07\/prediction_graph.png 1344w, https:\/\/cholesterolcode.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/07\/prediction_graph-300x181.png 300w, https:\/\/cholesterolcode.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/07\/prediction_graph-768x463.png 768w, https:\/\/cholesterolcode.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/07\/prediction_graph-1024x617.png 1024w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1344px) 100vw, 1344px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>They followed up with these tweets:<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-lang=\"en\"><p><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/DaveKeto\">@DaveKeto<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Predict?src=hash\">#Predict<\/a> 257 bottles of beer on the wall, 257 bottles of beer &#8230;<\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Richard Morris (@khiron) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/khiron\/status\/751128822485889025\">July 7, 2016<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script src=\"\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" async=\"\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p><script src=\"\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" async=\"\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-lang=\"en\"><p>Hey <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/DaveKeto\">@DaveKeto<\/a>, I <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Predict?src=hash\">#Predict<\/a> the next point on the red line will be a double dozen dozen.. 288<\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Jeff Winkler (@winkler1) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/winkler1\/status\/751102746561015808\">July 7, 2016<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script src=\"\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" async=\"\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-lang=\"en\"><p>Hi <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/DaveKeto\">@DaveKeto<\/a>, to correctly <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/predict?src=hash\">#predict<\/a> lab results I look to Anchorman wisdom &#8211; so 260<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/keto?src=hash\">#keto<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/science?src=hash\">#science<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/statistics?src=hash\">#statistics<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/HkfEbVwo2Z\">pic.twitter.com\/HkfEbVwo2Z<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Raphi Sirt (@raphaels7) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/raphaels7\/status\/751134217686421505\">July 7, 2016<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script src=\"\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" async=\"\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>Reminder &#8212; all these tweets are dated July 7, 2016, <em>the night before my blood test<\/em>.<\/p>\n<p>To replot the graph with their predictions:<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-134\" src=\"http:\/\/cholesterolcode.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/07\/twitter_prediction_tweets.png\" alt=\"twitter_prediction_tweets\" width=\"2041\" height=\"1538\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cholesterolcode.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/07\/twitter_prediction_tweets.png 2041w, https:\/\/cholesterolcode.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/07\/twitter_prediction_tweets-300x226.png 300w, https:\/\/cholesterolcode.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/07\/twitter_prediction_tweets-768x579.png 768w, https:\/\/cholesterolcode.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/07\/twitter_prediction_tweets-1024x772.png 1024w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2041px) 100vw, 2041px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>The LDL-C result from my July 8th test just came in Friday and is as follows:<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-133\" src=\"http:\/\/cholesterolcode.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/07\/twitter_prediction_ldlc-1.png\" alt=\"twitter_prediction_ldlc\" width=\"2537\" height=\"482\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cholesterolcode.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/07\/twitter_prediction_ldlc-1.png 2537w, https:\/\/cholesterolcode.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/07\/twitter_prediction_ldlc-1-300x57.png 300w, https:\/\/cholesterolcode.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/07\/twitter_prediction_ldlc-1-768x146.png 768w, https:\/\/cholesterolcode.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/07\/twitter_prediction_ldlc-1-1024x195.png 1024w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2537px) 100vw, 2537px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>And thus, here&#8217;s the updated graph with the new 283 result plotted on the red line:<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-136\" src=\"http:\/\/cholesterolcode.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/07\/twitter_prediction_after-1.png\" alt=\"twitter_prediction_after\" width=\"2041\" height=\"1538\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cholesterolcode.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/07\/twitter_prediction_after-1.png 2041w, https:\/\/cholesterolcode.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/07\/twitter_prediction_after-1-300x226.png 300w, https:\/\/cholesterolcode.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/07\/twitter_prediction_after-1-768x579.png 768w, https:\/\/cholesterolcode.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/07\/twitter_prediction_after-1-1024x772.png 1024w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2041px) 100vw, 2041px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s the close up:<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-138\" src=\"http:\/\/cholesterolcode.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/07\/twitter_prediction_after_small.png\" alt=\"twitter_prediction_after_small\" width=\"700\" height=\"500\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cholesterolcode.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/07\/twitter_prediction_after_small.png 700w, https:\/\/cholesterolcode.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/07\/twitter_prediction_after_small-300x214.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 700px) 100vw, 700px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Thus making <strong>Jeff Winkler<\/strong> @winkler1 the winner!<\/p>\n<p>If you&#8217;re wondering how I could have three total strangers could\u00a0predict where my cholesterol numbers would be in such a tight range, you haven&#8217;t been reading my series! (See <a href=\"http:\/\/cholesterolcode.com\/cholesterol-code-part-i\/\">Part I<\/a>, <a href=\"http:\/\/cholesterolcode.com\/cholesterol-code-part-ii-the-ldl-p-gap\/\">Part II<\/a>, and <a href=\"http:\/\/cholesterolcode.com\/cholesterol-code-part-iii-the-divergence\/\">Part III<\/a>)<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Note from Dave: This post is actually a replacement due to the previous Twitter Prediction post being weirdly targeted by spambots. If you&#8217;ve read my series up to this point, you know the pattern being identified should be not only be reproducible, but predictive. So for my 22nd blood test, I decided to have a &hellip; <\/p>\n<p><a class=\"more-link btn\" href=\"https:\/\/cholesterolcode.com\/prediction-contest\/\">Continue reading<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[8,12],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1185","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-cholesterol","category-twitter","item-wrap"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p9EmAp-j7","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/cholesterolcode.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1185","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/cholesterolcode.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/cholesterolcode.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cholesterolcode.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cholesterolcode.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1185"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/cholesterolcode.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1185\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/cholesterolcode.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1185"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cholesterolcode.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1185"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cholesterolcode.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1185"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}