Kautilya The Contemplator
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Greenland and the Formalization of Transatlantic Hierarchy
A US takeover of Greenland would reveal that European sovereignty is conditional on American consent, stripping away any remaining ambiguity about…
Jan 16
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The Enduring State: Why Iran's Protests are Unlikely to Induce Regime Change
Iran's protests reflect deep social and generational strain, but absent unified leadership, elite fracture and a credible alternative order, they…
Jan 11
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The Waning Colossus: Empire, Overreach and the Unraveling of American Power
American power is waning as imperial overreach, loss of restraint, military failure and collapsing prestige converge into a structural decline long…
Jan 8
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Decapitation Without Destruction: Why the Abduction of President Maduro Creates a Strategic Crisis for the United States
Seizing Nicolás Maduro may have been tactically clean, but it has created a legitimacy crisis likely to draw Washington into prolonged resistance and…
Jan 4
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Access Without Authority: The Structural Failure of US Backchannel Diplomacy with Russia
Backchannels can open doors at the highest level, but without exclusive control and enforcement of discipline over allies and bureaucracies, access…
Dec 25, 2025
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Unwelcome Allies: The Forgotten History of Soviet and Russian Attempts to Join NATO
Soviet and Russian attempts to join or reshape NATO were consistently rejected because the alliance was designed to preserve US-led dominance in Europe…
Dec 21, 2025
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Russia's Logic of Long Rule: Continuity, Statecraft and the Illusion of Regime Change
Putin’s long rule reflects Russia’s historic need for stable, centralized leadership that will continue unchanged after him despite Western…
Dec 14, 2025
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Eighty Years After Yalta: Europe's Return to Irrelevance
The London photo of Starmer, Macron, Merz and Zelensky starkly contrasts with the 1945 Yalta image, revealing a delusional Europe that can no longer…
Dec 10, 2025
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