Polls, the campaign, and Pierre Poilievre

Pierre Poilievre dramatically narrowed the lead the Liberals had built—10 per cent at one point—but he carried too much political baggage. His attack-dog persona in the run-up to the campaign demonstrated a lack of internal calibration; he looked like a schoolboy next to Mark Carney who comported himself with erudition and sobriety.
Pierre Poilievre, pictured with his wife Anaida Poilievre in Montreal on April 15, 2025 was so close for so long to winning a Conservative supermajority. The party could almost taste it, but it was not to be, writes Nelson Wiseman.

TORONTO—In 2022, nine polls reported on the parties’ standings between Erin O’Toole’s removal as Conservative leader and the following month when the Liberals and NDP signed a confidence and supply agreement. The Liberals led in most of those polls, while the NDP rod...

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