The Power Law

The Power Law

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Hantavirus won't be the next COVID
A forecaster's breakdown of the Hondius cruise ship outbreak
 • Peter Wildeford
Mythos is just the beginning
If you were waiting for a sign that superintelligence is coming, this is it
 • Peter Wildeford
China Is Reverse-Engineering America’s Best AI Models
How AI distillation attacks risk extracting US frontier AI at scale
 • Peter Wildeford and Theo Bearman
The Pentagon's War on Anthropic
The Pentagon has a legitimate principle, and a terrible strategy for enforcing it
 • Peter Wildeford
The case for paying whistleblowers to report on export violations
A bipartisan, bicameral bill would apply the SEC’s successful whistleblower incentive model to export enforcement
 • Erich Grunewald
Maduro has been captured. What's next?
The operation was flawless. What comes next is anyone's guess.
 • Peter Wildeford
My template for a quarterly review + plan
A free Google doc template for the system I actually use
 • Peter Wildeford
The Power Law
The Power Law
Join top forecaster Peter Wildeford as he forecasts our fast paced future and discusses AI, national security, innovation, emerging technology, and the powers - real and metaphorical - that shape our world.
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