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Hedging in Part
why fully hedging deltas is suboptimal even under concave utility
Jan 8
•
Thanos Chad
2
1
Bigger is Better for the Bettor II
Another case where you can rationally "over-bet" Kelly
Jan 6
•
Thanos Chad
3
Bigger is Better for the Bettor
You only have so much time to get it in good
Dec 30, 2025
•
Thanos Chad
8
3
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BRB, Trading BNB
Jan 21, 2025
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Thanos Chad
10
5
Bigger is Better for the Bettor
Dec 30, 2025
•
Thanos Chad
8
3
Snakes 'n Ladders
Aug 13, 2025
•
Thanos Chad
9
Robot Swimming Trials
Dec 9, 2024
•
Thanos Chad
Prediction (Gambling) Market Correlations
Dec 7, 2025
•
Thanos Chad
2
2
Betting the bias
Jun 29, 2025
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Thanos Chad
7
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Prediction (Gambling) Market Correlations
leveling up Avellaneda-Stoikov
Dec 7, 2025
•
Thanos Chad
2
2
Prince Charming
dp/dt
Oct 20, 2025
•
Thanos Chad
4
5
The Right-Tail Amputation
discipline, but make it -EV
Oct 18, 2025
•
Thanos Chad
4
6
Discretely Uniform
Approximating dNs and card draws
Oct 11, 2025
•
Thanos Chad
7
Face Value II
cleaned up + generalized
Sep 21, 2025
•
Thanos Chad
2
3
Home Field Advantage
five games, three games… one invariant
Sep 5, 2025
•
Thanos Chad
3
Shoptastic Stopping Times III
Adding in some weights
Aug 31, 2025
•
Thanos Chad
4
Shoptastic Stopping Times II
Time needed to get things back in order
Aug 26, 2025
•
Thanos Chad
4
Asymmetric Flow
making markets around the fair value is not always optimal
Aug 15, 2025
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Thanos Chad
4
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