The Daily Report | Ariel Calista | Substack

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Recent posts

Weather, Markets, and Misread Edges

Most people who follow my sports wagering thoughts know that I enjoy reading Jeff Fogle as he always has interesting takes.

Dec 16, 2025 • Ariel Calista

The Race to the Data

Every betting edge in modern sports begins and ends with data.

Dec 13, 2025 • Ariel Calista

The Discipline Engine

Why Most Bettors Lose Before They Ever Place a Bet

Dec 3, 2025 • Ariel Calista

A New Era for Equine Welfare

Why Science, Technology, and Ethics Must Finally Converge

Nov 26, 2025 • Ariel Calista

Methodology: Turning Market Structure Into Measurable Intelligence

Up to now we’ve defined the five pillars of prediction market truth: Volatility, Efficiency, Persistence, Liquidity, and Behavior. Each reveals a…

Nov 23, 2025 • Ariel Calista

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