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Why the U.S. is Behind in the AI "Race"
Because it’s not a race—it’s an accumulation game
Sep 12, 2025
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Michelle Ma
15
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The Data Bottleneck: Where AGI Stalls—and Governance Begins
May 19, 2025
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Michelle Ma
12
10
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AI Forecasting's Catch-22: The Practical Value of Flawed Models
Jun 24, 2025
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Michelle Ma
10
9
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Reinforcement Learning (with Verifiable Rewards) Doesn't Elicit New Capabilities
May 4, 2025
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Michelle Ma
7
3
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Private AI Governance Has an Incentives Problem
On Dean Ball's proposal, lessons from 2008, and better alternatives
Oct 2, 2025
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Michelle Ma
and
Asterisk Magazine
6
The First Non-Opioid Painkiller for Post-Surgical Pain
Journavx was approved this year. Why did it take so long to develop?
Jun 26, 2025
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Michelle Ma
8
AI Forecasting's Catch-22: The Practical Value of Flawed Models
A Response to titotal's AI 2027 Critique
Jun 24, 2025
•
Michelle Ma
10
9
2
Quantifying the Long-Form Data Bottleneck
Making up numbers: ❌. Making up numbers in a Monte Carlo simulation: ✅
May 25, 2025
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Michelle Ma
6
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The Data Bottleneck: Where AGI Stalls—and Governance Begins
Long-form workflow data is scarce...and that might be fantastic for safety
May 19, 2025
•
Michelle Ma
12
10
3
Reinforcement Learning (with Verifiable Rewards) Doesn't Elicit New Capabilities
Wake up babe, new arXiv paper just dropped
May 4, 2025
•
Michelle Ma
7
3
1
Epoch AI & Labor Automation Timelines
This is not about Mechanize, btw...
Apr 30, 2025
•
Michelle Ma
7
4
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AI Policy Takes
Comments on artificial intelligence (mostly) - AI governance, forecasting, geopolitics, & more.
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