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Recent electoral history | Saint John West—Lancaster


2020 2024 Projection LIB 46% ± 7% 21.6% 46.5% PC 37% ± 7% 54.8% 36.8% GRN 11% ± 4% 13.9% 11.4% NDP 4% ± 2% 3.4% 4.4% IND 1% ± 1% 0.0% 0.0%

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338Canada Saint John West—Lancaster projection

Latest update: December 20, 2025

Saint John West—Lancaster 39% 54% 46% ± 7% LIB 30% 44% 37% ± 7% PC 7% 15% 11% ± 4% GRN 2% 7% 4% ± 2% NDP LIB 2024 46.5% 338Canada Popular vote projection | December 20, 2025
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Saint John West—Lancaster 92% LIB 8% PC <1% GRN Odds of winning | December 20, 2025
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada New Brunswick Projection | Saint John West—Lancaster

Odds of winning | Saint John West—Lancaster