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Recent electoral history | Fredericton—Grand Lake


2020 2024 Projection PC 57% ± 7% 31.3% 54.0% LIB 29% ± 6% 9.2% 27.6% GRN 11% ± 4% 13.4% 10.4% NDP 3% ± 2% 1.0% 2.4% PANB 0% ± 0% 44.8% 5.6%

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338Canada Fredericton—Grand Lake projection

Latest update: December 20, 2025

Fredericton—Grand Lake 50% 64% 57% ± 7% PC 23% 35% 29% ± 6% LIB 7% 15% 11% ± 4% GRN PC 2024 54.0% 338Canada Popular vote projection | December 20, 2025
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Fredericton—Grand Lake >99% PC <1% LIB <1% GRN Odds of winning | December 20, 2025
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada New Brunswick Projection | Fredericton—Grand Lake

Odds of winning | Fredericton—Grand Lake