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Recent electoral history | Carleton—Victoria


2020 2024 Projection PC 63% ± 7% 45.0% 62.3% LIB 28% ± 6% 38.0% 28.0% GRN 6% ± 3% 5.6% 5.9% IND 3% ± 2% 0.0% 0.0%

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338Canada Carleton—Victoria projection

Latest update: December 20, 2025

Carleton—Victoria 56% 70% 63% ± 7% PC 22% 34% 28% ± 6% LIB 3% 8% 6% ± 3% GRN PC 2024 62.3% 338Canada Popular vote projection | December 20, 2025
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Carleton—Victoria >99% PC <1% LIB <1% GRN Odds of winning | December 20, 2025
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada New Brunswick Projection | Carleton—Victoria

Odds of winning | Carleton—Victoria